Archimedes Publications

 This page provides a list of publications authored by Archimedes staff.

 Accurate forecasting of commodity prices

To increase the probability of successully forecasting medium-term commodity prices (oil, base metals, gold), investors should monitor the strength of the US Dolllar.

      Myths Exposed on what controls base metals and gold prices

Paper presented at ASEG 2010 conference; includes statistical projection of US Dollar vaulation next 5 years.

         Accurate forecasting of oil & gold prices: Strong influence of the US Dollar. 

Above paper demonstrates influence of US dollar by looking at oil and gold prices (Published in PESA News, August 2009): 

        Base metals and gold prices: strong influence of US dollar valuation

Above paper comes to the same conclusion, looking at base metals and gold prices (published in ASEG Preview, August 2009):

    The Australian Economy and performance of the sharemarket. 

Contrary to popular opinion, the Australian sharemarket performance is only weakly linked to state of economy. So why all the media attention on the economy when contemplating future sharemarket returns?? (Published in SPE News, Nov-Dec 2008).

    ‘Performance of ASX Resource Stocks’

    Published in ASEG Preview, August 2003. download pdf

    ‘Volatility matters - the case for investment in resource stocks’

     Published in ASEG Preview December 2001. Volatility Matters

    ‘Portfolio Risk reduction: Optimising selection of resource projects by use of financial industry techniques’

     Presented at ASEG Conference in Brisbane, 2001. Portfolio Risk Reduction

If you are interested in content of geophysical papers Noll wrote in his previous incarnation, here are some:

        3-Dimensional Seismic Surveying in the Otway Basin.

        Published 1995.  Paper received ASEG Conference Best Presentation award.

        Otway Basin Seismic Acquisition: Less Field Effort = Better Data Quality.

         Published 1992.  Paper received ASEG Conference Highly Commended citation.

         Dephasing of Seismic Data.

         Published 1987  ASEG Conference